Premier League Stats Grid Bet Builder Opportunities for Fixtures in the Next 4 Days

Data is sourced from Football Pro Predictions Season Stats and Last 25 Games. These are research indicators only—check current team news, market availability and bookmaker rules, and always do your own research.

Ipswich Town vs Liverpool

Liverpool’s away attacking lines provide the clearest starting point. Their last 10 recorded away shots-on-target sequence is 7, 5, 5, 6, 0, 5, 5, 6, 9, 7: an average of 5.50, with over 4.5 landing in 9/10 (90.00%). Ipswich allowed opponents over 2.5 shots on target in 9/10 home records (90.00%), so Liverpool over 2.5 shots on target is a deliberately lower research line: Liverpool recorded it in 10/10 away matches and Ipswich allowed it in 9/10. The Last 25 Games window supports Liverpool’s away shots-on-target average of 5.17, while Ipswich’s home figure for shots on target against is 3.75. The Season window is only one venue match per team, so it is supporting context rather than decisive evidence.

Liverpool’s away goals sequence, 2, 2, 2, 2, 0, 0, 1, 0, 3, 1, produced over 0.5 in 7/10; Ipswich conceded over 0.5 in 7/10 home records. That is reasonable but not dominant agreement, so Liverpool over 0.5 goals is preferable to a higher team-goals line. Liverpool over 1.5 corners has 9/10 away support, while Ipswich allowed over 1.5 corners in all 10 home records. The corresponding Last 25 Games corner figures are Liverpool 6.08 for and Ipswich 3.50 against at home, though the larger-window evidence is less emphatic than the recent venue pairing. Liverpool’s tackles over 9.5 is supported by 10/10 away records and Ipswich allowing over 9.5 in 7/7 valid home records. H2H contains only two matches and is not used to set a line. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420602881.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Liverpool over 0.5 goals and Liverpool over 2.5 shots on target. These are the two attacking lines with the most direct venue pairing. Higher-variance example builder: add Liverpool over 1.5 corners and Liverpool over 9.5 tackles; each additional leg increases variance.

Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth

Newcastle’s home shots profile is more persuasive than a goals-first approach. Across nine valid home records, Newcastle’s shots sequence is 16, 13, 8, 6, 15, 13, 12, 16, 16. It averaged 12.78 and cleared 11.5 in 7/9 (77.78%). Bournemouth allowed opponents over 11.5 shots in 8/9 away records (88.89%). The Last 25 Games window also lists Newcastle at 14.67 home shots for and Bournemouth at 16.08 away shots against. Newcastle over 11.5 shots therefore has stronger cross-window support than a more ambitious Newcastle goals line.

Newcastle over 2.5 shots on target is backed by 9/9 valid home records, with Bournemouth allowing over 2.5 in 8/9 away records. The Last 25 Games figures are Newcastle 5.25 home shots on target for and Bournemouth 4.54 away shots on target against. Newcastle also recorded over 1.5 corners in all nine valid home samples, while Bournemouth allowed that line in 9/9 away samples. Newcastle over 10.5 tackles has a 9/9 home record and Bournemouth allowed it in 7/7 valid away records. Newcastle goals remain usable at over 0.5, but their 10/10 home record meets Bournemouth’s 7/10 away concession record rather than an equally strong pairing. The four-match H2H sample offers limited secondary context only. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420603965.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Newcastle over 2.5 shots on target and Newcastle over 1.5 corners. Higher-variance example builder: Newcastle over 11.5 shots, Newcastle over 10.5 tackles and Newcastle over 0.5 goals.

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur

This fixture has a meaningful split between Forest’s relatively restrained home goal data and Tottenham’s more active away profile. Tottenham scored over 0.5 goals in 8/10 away matches, while Forest conceded over 0.5 in 7/10 home matches. That supports Tottenham over 0.5 goals, but not an aggressive team-goals line. The Last 25 Games window shows Tottenham scoring in 91.67% of away records and Forest conceding in 69.23% of home records; the single-match Season window should not override those broader samples.

Tottenham’s away corner sequence has nine valid values and cleared over 1.5 in 9/9. Forest allowed over 1.5 corners in 8/10 home records. Tottenham over 1.5 corners is therefore more defensible than a higher team-corner threshold. Tottenham over 8.5 shots is 9/9 away, against Forest allowing over 8.5 in 7/10. For shots on target, Tottenham cleared over 1.5 in 8/9 and Forest allowed it in 8/10. Tottenham’s card line over 0.5 has 7/7 valid away support, while Forest allowed over 0.5 cards in 6/7 valid home records. The Last 25 Games data shows Tottenham averaging 11.75 away shots and 4.75 away shots on target, giving those lower lines a credible wider-window anchor. The five-match H2H record had four matches above 2.5 total goals, but current venue evidence is more important and does not justify turning the total into a lead recommendation. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420604134.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Tottenham over 1.5 corners and Tottenham over 1.5 shots on target. Higher-variance example builder: add Tottenham over 8.5 shots and Tottenham over 0.5 goals.

Manchester City vs Coventry City

City’s home attacking output offers several distinct research areas. Their 10-match home shots sequence is 13, 16, 16, 15, 25, 26, 15, 11, 22, 21, producing over 10.5 in 10/10. Coventry allowed opponents over 10.5 shots in 9/10 away records. City’s Last 25 Games home shots average is 17.58, while Coventry’s away shots-against average is 14.31. City over 10.5 shots is consequently supported by both the recent pair and the larger sample.

City’s home shots-on-target sequence cleared over 2.5 in 10/10, and Coventry allowed over 2.5 in 8/10 away records. City over 2.5 corners is another lower threshold with 10/10 home support, paired with Coventry allowing over 2.5 corners in 7/10 away matches. Possession is a separate, team-specific case: City exceeded 52.5% in 8/10 at home, while Coventry allowed opponents over 42.5% in 8/10 away. City’s Last 25 home possession average is 61.33%, against Coventry’s away possession-against figure of 45.92%. City’s Season home split shows 66% possession, but its one-match size limits its value. No recorded H2H sample is available, so there is no historical layer to add. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420604135.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Manchester City over 10.5 shots and Manchester City over 2.5 shots on target. Higher-variance example builder: add Manchester City over 2.5 corners and Manchester City over 52.5% possession.

Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Fulham’s home corners are the strongest attacking-area candidate. Their nine valid home corner values are 10, 6, 9, 6, 6, 11, 2, 6, 15, with over 5.5 in 8/9 (88.89%). Crystal Palace allowed opponents over 5.5 corners in 6/10 away records, so Fulham over 3.5 corners is the more cautious paired line: Fulham cleared it in 9/9 and Palace allowed it in 8/10. The Last 25 Games home figures show Fulham at 6.21 corners for and Palace at 5.83 corners against away. The Season home/away figures also point toward Fulham’s territorial edge, but each is based on one match.

Fulham’s shots sequence cleared over 7.5 in 9/9 valid home matches, and Palace allowed opponents over 7.5 shots in 9/10 away games. Fulham over 2.5 shots on target is 9/9, although Palace’s 6/10 allowance at that line makes it less secure than the shots selection. Palace’s own over 0.5 cards line is 9/9 away and Fulham allowed opponents over 0.5 cards in 7/7 valid home records. Fulham over 1.5 cards has 6/7 support, with Palace allowing over 1.5 in 6/9. Goals are less convincing: Fulham scored over 0.5 in 7/10 home matches, while Palace conceded over 0.5 in all 10 away matches, but Palace’s own scoring record is uneven. The seven-match H2H sample recorded over 1.5 total goals in 7/7, yet current venue data makes team activity markets preferable. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420604136.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Fulham over 3.5 corners and Fulham over 7.5 shots. Higher-variance example builder: add Fulham over 2.5 shots on target and Crystal Palace over 0.5 cards.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United

Brighton’s home attacking evidence is clear in shots and possession, though the team’s shots-on-target line needs restraint because Leeds’ away concession data is lower. Brighton’s nine valid home shots values are 21, 21, 20, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 11. They cleared over 10.5 in 9/9, while Leeds allowed opponents over 10.5 shots in 7/10 away records. Brighton’s Last 25 Games home shots-for average is 14.58 and Leeds’ away shots-against average is 14.36. Brighton over 10.5 shots is accordingly one of the fixture’s better-supported opportunities.

Brighton’s possession sequence has nine valid matches and cleared 50.5% in 8/9, while Leeds allowed opponents over 49.5% in 9/10 away records. The Last 25 Games possession figures are Brighton 61.17% at home and Leeds allowing 55.43% away. Brighton’s home corners cleared over 3.5 in 8/9, but Leeds allowed over 3.5 corners in 7/10, making Brighton over 2.5 corners the more conservative option. Brighton’s home goals cleared over 0.5 in 8/10, yet Leeds conceded over 0.5 in only 6/10 away matches; that conflict is why Brighton goals are not a primary builder leg. Leeds over 0.5 cards has 9/10 away support, and Brighton allowed opponents over 0.5 cards in 7/7 valid home records. The two-match H2H sample is too small to influence the ranking. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420604137.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Brighton over 10.5 shots and Brighton over 50.5% possession. Higher-variance example builder: add Brighton over 2.5 corners and Leeds United over 0.5 cards.

Brentford vs Sunderland

Brentford’s home goal sequence includes an isolated seven-goal result, so its 2.00 average should not be used to justify an ambitious goals line. A more measured signal is Brentford over 0.5 goals: 7/10 at home, paired with Sunderland conceding over 0.5 in 9/10 away records. The Last 25 Games figures are Brentford 1.60 home goals for and Sunderland 1.20 away goals against. That is supporting evidence for a single Brentford goal, but not for Brentford over 1.5 goals.

Brentford’s home corners cleared over 1.5 in 9/10, while Sunderland allowed over 1.5 in all 10 away matches. Brentford over 1.5 corners is a more stable research opportunity than a high team-corner line. Sunderland’s away goals profile makes their own over 0.5 goal line worth separate consideration: 8/10 away matches, while Brentford conceded over 0.5 in 6/10 at home. Sunderland’s away shots-on-target sequence cleared over 1.5 in 9/10, with Brentford allowing over 1.5 in 8/10 home records. Sunderland over 7.5 shots also has 9/10 away support, while Brentford allowed over 7.5 in 6/10. The Last 25 Games window lists Sunderland at 12.67 away shots and Brentford at 11.20 home shots against, giving the lower Sunderland shots line support. H2H consists of two matches and should remain secondary. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420604138.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Brentford over 1.5 corners and Sunderland over 1.5 shots on target. Higher-variance example builder: add Sunderland over 7.5 shots and both teams to score is not included because the supplied venue evidence does not support it strongly enough.

Hull City vs Aston Villa

Aston Villa’s away goal record is the clearest route into this fixture. Villa scored over 0.5 in 9/10 away matches, while Hull conceded over 0.5 in 5/10 home records. The pairing is not uniform, but Villa’s Last 25 Games away scoring rate is 83.33% and Hull conceded in 61.54% of home matches. Villa over 0.5 goals is therefore a reasonable research area; Villa over 1.5 goals is not, because the recent away sequence cleared it only 5/10 times.

Villa’s away corners are more cautiously approached. They cleared over 1.5 corners in 10/10 away records, while Hull allowed over 1.5 in 9/10 home records. Villa over 1.5 corners has broad agreement, whereas higher thresholds do not. Villa over 5.5 shots has 10/10 away support and Hull allowed over 5.5 shots in 9/10 home records. Villa over 1.5 shots on target also lands in 9/10 away games, with Hull allowing it in 8/10. Hull’s own cards over 0.5 line recorded 8/9 at home and Villa allowed over 0.5 cards in 9/9 away records. The Last 25 Games window supports Villa’s away shots-against-facing profile with 10.83 shots for and Hull’s 12.62 shots against at home. No recorded H2H data is available, so no historical inference is added. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420604430.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Aston Villa over 1.5 corners and Aston Villa over 5.5 shots. Higher-variance example builder: add Aston Villa over 1.5 shots on target and Hull City over 0.5 cards.

Everton vs Manchester United

Everton’s home scoring sequence is stronger than Manchester United’s away defensive sequence. Everton scored over 0.5 in 9/10 home matches; United conceded over 0.5 in 5/10 away records. The Last 25 Games window is more supportive, showing Everton scoring in 91.67% of home matches and United conceding in 66.67% away. Everton over 0.5 goals is therefore viable as a cautious line, but the conflicting recent concession figure argues against a more ambitious Everton goals selection.

Manchester United’s away shots-on-target evidence is better aligned: their sequence cleared over 2.5 in 9/10 and Everton allowed over 2.5 in 9/10 home records. United’s away shots sequence cleared over 7.5 in 10/10, while Everton allowed over 7.5 in 9/10. United over 1.5 corners is backed by 9/10 away samples, paired with Everton allowing over 1.5 corners in 8/10 home records. Everton’s own corners over 2.5 cleared 9/10, although United allowing that mark in only 6/10 makes it a secondary line. United’s away cards over 0.5 landed in all 10 matches, while Everton allowed over 0.5 cards in 7/9 valid home records. The five-match H2H sample has three matches over 3.5 total goals, but it does not override the more mixed current goal distributions. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420605101.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Manchester United over 2.5 shots on target and Manchester United over 7.5 shots. Higher-variance example builder: add Manchester United over 1.5 corners and Everton over 0.5 goals.

Arsenal vs Chelsea

Arsenal’s home shots sequence is 20, 9, 15, 9, 13, 13, 18, 11, 15, 10. It cleared over 8.5 in 10/10, while Chelsea allowed opponents over 8.5 shots in 8/10 away records. Arsenal’s Last 25 Games home shots average is 15.15; Chelsea’s away shots-against average is 12.70. Arsenal over 8.5 shots is a more defensible research line than an aggressive Arsenal goals line, despite Arsenal scoring over 0.5 in 9/10 home matches and Chelsea conceding over 0.5 in 9/10 away matches.

Arsenal over 2.5 shots on target has 8/10 home support, while Chelsea allowed over 2.5 in 10/10 away records. Arsenal over 1.5 corners is 10/10 at home and Chelsea allowed over 1.5 in 9/10 away matches. Chelsea over 0.5 cards is also well paired: 9/10 away records and Arsenal allowed over 0.5 cards in 8/10 at home. Chelsea’s away cards sequence, 3, 5, 5, 4, 1, 2, 0, 2, 5, 2, cleared over 1.5 in 8/10, while Arsenal allowed over 1.5 cards in 5/10; that conflict makes Chelsea over 0.5 cards the more conservative choice. Arsenal’s Last 25 Games home possession average is 50.92%, but Chelsea’s away profile does not create a sufficiently clear possession line. H2H covers seven matches, but its goal pattern conflicts with current venue data and remains secondary. Source: Football Pro Predictions fixture dataset, /fixture/420605325.

Recommendations

Conservative example builder: Arsenal over 8.5 shots and Arsenal over 1.5 corners. Higher-variance example builder: add Arsenal over 2.5 shots on target and Chelsea over 0.5 cards.

FAQ

Key takeaways